rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 3 California - Los Angeles 92 Houston 62 Illinois 110 Louisville 57 New Mexico 112 New Mexico State 19 Wisconsin 106 Nevada - Las Vegas 80-90% chance of victory: 36 Arizona State 104 North Texas 50 Boston College 101 Temple 15 Colorado 71 Utah State 6 Georgia 46 Wyoming 1 Kansas State 31 Texas 7 Kentucky 73 Indiana 99 Louisiana Tech 109 Southwestern Louisiana 60 Navy 107 Kent State 4 Ohio State 30 Missouri 20 Oregon 87 San Jose State 9 Penn State 61 Pittsburgh 17 Syracuse 105 Rutgers 18 Texas Tech 51 Fresno State 22 Virginia 69 Clemson 70-80% chance of victory: 54 Arkansas 65 Southern Methodist 16 Florida State 26 Duke 79 Iowa State 96 Ball State 12 Virginia Tech 32 Miami - Florida 42 Michigan 80 Eastern Michigan 75 Minnesota 88 Memphis State 25 Mississippi State 52 Oklahoma State 56 Rice 67 Northwestern 21 Southern California 37 Oregon State 28 North Carolina 76 Stanford 85 Toledo 100 Western Michigan 74 Utah 94 Hawaii 55 Mississippi 91 Vanderbilt 11 Washington 48 Brigham Young 23 Washington State 83 Idaho 47 West Virginia 72 Maryland 60-70% chance of victory: 13 Air Force 33 Colorado State 27 Arizona 39 Iowa 81 Army 97 Cincinnati 14 Louisiana State 29 Auburn 41 North Carolina State 59 Baylor 58 Oklahoma 66 California 8 Central Florida 38 Purdue 45 Southern Mississippi 44 Texas A&M 50-60% chance of victory: 84 Ohio 78 East Carolina 53 South Carolina 43 Marshall 5 Florida 10 Tennessee
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