rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 19 Central Florida 102 Bowling Green 26 Colorado State 106 Nevada - Las Vegas 47 Marshall 105 Eastern Michigan 46 Iowa 100 Illinois 1 Kansas State 91 Northeast Louisiana 13 Louisiana State 83 Idaho 81 Texas - El Paso 110 New Mexico State 75 Army 111 Rutgers 53 Southern Mississippi 112 Southwestern Louisiana 6 Tennessee 82 Houston 15 Texas A&M 104 North Texas 80-90% chance of victory: 23 Arizona 63 San Diego State 16 Colorado 57 Baylor 25 Texas Tech 66 Iowa State 40 Miami - Ohio 76 Toledo 2 Nebraska 17 Washington 8 Oregon 67 Stanford 20 Air Force 70 Texas Christian 27 Tulane 72 Navy 51 Utah 89 Boise State 12 Virginia Tech 52 Pittsburgh 21 Wisconsin 74 Northwestern 33 Wyoming 69 Louisiana Tech 70-80% chance of victory: 92 Akron 103 Ball State 73 Alabama - Birmingham 84 Kansas 38 Alabama 77 Arkansas 56 Indiana 97 Cincinnati 55 Clemson 79 Wake Forest 35 Virginia 78 Duke 9 Florida 24 Kentucky 4 Florida State 11 Southern California 42 Fresno State 90 Nevada - Reno 87 Hawaii 96 Arkansas State 62 Boston College 98 Louisville 85 Maryland 99 Temple 7 California - Los Angeles 31 Miami - Florida 14 Michigan 29 Michigan State 45 North Carolina 61 Georgia Tech 54 Mississippi 88 Southern Methodist 39 Texas 64 Rice 36 West Virginia 50 Tulsa 86 Ohio 101 Western Michigan 60-70% chance of victory: 48 Arizona State 41 Oregon State 43 Washington State 59 California 108 Central Michigan 107 Kent State 80 New Mexico 95 San Jose State 50-60% chance of victory: 22 Purdue 30 Notre Dame 49 Mississippi State 60 South Carolina
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