rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 88 Arkansas State 109 New Mexico State 3 Florida State 81 Maryland 41 Miami - Florida 107 Rutgers 24 Virginia 91 San Jose State 1 Nebraska 42 Oklahoma State 80-90% chance of victory: 19 Air Force 85 New Mexico 7 Florida 53 Alabama 8 Tennessee 32 Auburn 9 California - Los Angeles 43 Washington State 38 Georgia Tech 78 Duke 21 Michigan State 102 Central Michigan 26 Notre Dame 82 Stanford 35 Wyoming 63 Utah 70-80% chance of victory: 4 Syracuse 33 North Carolina State 70 East Carolina 94 Army 18 Wisconsin 55 Indiana 11 Michigan 44 Iowa 17 Texas A&M 69 Kansas 96 Eastern Michigan 108 Kent State 10 Louisiana State 15 Georgia 52 Louisiana Tech 84 Boise State 49 Mississippi 75 South Carolina 36 West Virginia 65 Navy 71 Nevada - Reno 106 Nevada - Las Vegas 67 Northwestern 95 Illinois 5 Ohio State 12 Penn State 20 Colorado 59 Oklahoma 54 Pittsburgh 90 Akron 27 Purdue 60 Minnesota 14 Southern California 30 Arizona State 25 Texas 68 Iowa State 34 Colorado State 100 Texas - El Paso 62 Texas Christian 92 Vanderbilt 37 Texas Tech 51 Baylor 29 Tulane 47 Southern Mississippi 60-70% chance of victory: 110 Ball State 111 Northern Illinois 80 Ohio 101 Bowling Green 39 Brigham Young 61 Fresno State 73 Southern Methodist 103 Hawaii 76 Houston 87 Memphis State 89 Louisville 104 Cincinnati 58 North Carolina 57 Clemson 45 Central Florida 72 Toledo 48 Oregon State 74 Utah State 16 Washington 23 Arizona 99 Western Michigan 98 Northeast Louisiana 50-60% chance of victory: 40 Arkansas 31 Kentucky 46 Miami - Ohio 56 Marshall 64 San Diego State 77 Tulsa
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