rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 11 Virginia Tech 76 Boston College 46 Brigham Young 105 Nevada - Las Vegas 43 Central Florida 110 Northern Illinois 1 Kansas State 30 Colorado 3 Ohio State 83 Illinois 35 Arkansas 89 Memphis State 13 Penn State 79 Minnesota 62 San Diego State 104 Hawaii 8 Syracuse 107 Cincinnati 24 West Virginia 102 Temple 71 Toledo 109 Ball State 80-90% chance of victory: 15 Air Force 78 Navy 69 East Carolina 98 Alabama - Birmingham 68 Houston 95 Army 41 Iowa 77 Northwestern 21 Missouri 80 Iowa State 90 Akron 108 Kent State 40 Louisiana Tech 101 Northeast Louisiana 51 Marshall 96 Ohio 17 Southern California 50 California 2 Nebraska 25 Texas A&M 4 Oregon 52 Washington State 37 Wyoming 66 Southern Methodist 70-80% chance of victory: 5 California - Los Angeles 20 Arizona 48 Baylor 64 Kansas 39 Colorado State 75 Tulsa 44 Kentucky 70 South Carolina 6 Florida State 45 Miami - Florida 54 Miami - Ohio 87 Bowling Green 73 Nevada - Reno 106 New Mexico State 65 Wake Forest 84 Duke 28 Washington 74 Utah State 18 Texas 55 Oklahoma 60-70% chance of victory: 49 Alabama 58 Mississippi 59 Clemson 72 Maryland 9 Florida 10 Louisiana State 7 Tennessee 14 Georgia 29 Michigan State 57 Indiana 32 Mississippi State 31 Auburn 42 Pittsburgh 60 North Carolina 22 North Carolina State 34 Georgia Tech 47 Southern Mississippi 61 Louisville 53 Oregon State 81 Stanford 86 Vanderbilt 99 Western Michigan 50-60% chance of victory: 33 Arizona State 26 Notre Dame 91 Arkansas State 88 Idaho 97 North Texas 103 Boise State 100 Eastern Michigan 94 Central Michigan 85 Texas - El Paso 93 New Mexico 82 Rice 92 San Jose State 56 Fresno State 67 Texas Christian 27 Oklahoma State 38 Texas Tech 23 Wisconsin 16 Purdue
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