rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 31 Virginia Tech 101 Alabama - Birmingham 23 Arizona 99 Northeast Louisiana 85 Bowling Green 111 Kent State 61 Miami - Ohio 110 Cincinnati 1 Kansas State 72 Iowa State 54 Marshall 107 Ball State 53 Mississippi 106 Arkansas State 5 Ohio State 65 Northwestern 18 Purdue 92 Illinois 34 Tulane 108 Rutgers 45 Central Florida 112 Southwestern Louisiana 7 Tennessee 49 Alabama 10 Air Force 80 Tulsa 80-90% chance of victory: 43 Arizona State 79 Stanford 46 Brigham Young 95 San Jose State 3 California - Los Angeles 42 California 2 Nebraska 26 Missouri 21 Notre Dame 93 Army 4 Oregon 20 Southern California 56 Southern Methodist 100 Nevada - Las Vegas 28 Southern Mississippi 70 East Carolina 11 Texas A&M 39 Texas Tech 47 Wyoming 81 Rice 70-80% chance of victory: 36 Colorado State 57 Texas Christian 62 Fresno State 82 Texas - El Paso 15 Wisconsin 44 Iowa 29 Colorado 69 Kansas 64 Louisville 94 Memphis State 25 Michigan 48 Indiana 32 Michigan State 71 Minnesota 41 Oklahoma State 52 Oklahoma 14 Texas 50 Baylor 16 Virginia 35 North Carolina State 27 Washington 58 Oregon State 19 West Virginia 37 Miami - Florida 60-70% chance of victory: 96 Utah State 103 Boise State 75 Boston College 84 Navy 60 Duke 59 Clemson 102 Eastern Michigan 109 Northern Illinois 6 Florida State 13 Georgia Tech 97 New Mexico 105 Hawaii 78 Idaho 91 Nevada - Reno 38 Kentucky 30 Georgia 17 Louisiana State 22 Mississippi State 76 Houston 90 North Texas 67 San Diego State 66 Utah 68 South Carolina 87 Vanderbilt 50-60% chance of victory: 74 Toledo 86 Akron 24 Louisiana Tech 40 Auburn 98 Central Michigan 89 Western Michigan 51 North Carolina 63 Wake Forest
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