rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 42 Central Florida 106 Ball State 67 Houston 110 Cincinnati 5 Florida 80 South Carolina 61 Fresno State 108 Hawaii 4 Ohio State 53 Iowa 48 Miami - Ohio 111 Kent State 37 Oklahoma State 112 Southwestern Louisiana 29 West Virginia 101 Rutgers 32 Southern Mississippi 87 Memphis State 2 Florida State 64 Wake Forest 80-90% chance of victory: 21 Georgia Tech 60 Clemson 16 Tulane 78 Army 9 Arizona 51 California 1 Kansas State 3 Nebraska 39 Kentucky 86 Vanderbilt 84 Ohio 105 Northern Illinois 25 Penn State 81 Northwestern 70 Rice 95 Nevada - Las Vegas 31 Miami - Florida 91 Temple 44 Brigham Young 88 Texas - El Paso 71 Toledo 99 Central Michigan 33 Notre Dame 92 Navy 70-80% chance of victory: 102 Akron 107 Eastern Michigan 100 Northeast Louisiana 109 Arkansas State 52 Baylor 65 Oklahoma 45 Colorado 76 Iowa State 69 Duke 79 Maryland 90 Idaho 104 New Mexico State 50 Utah 96 New Mexico 14 Oregon 28 Arizona State 72 San Diego State 94 San Jose State 15 Syracuse 24 Virginia Tech 6 Tennessee 23 Arkansas 12 Texas A&M 17 Missouri 22 Virginia 47 North Carolina 11 Air Force 46 Wyoming 60-70% chance of victory: 35 Auburn 38 Georgia 55 Indiana 57 Minnesota 8 Purdue 27 Michigan State 36 Mississippi State 41 Alabama 74 Pittsburgh 77 Boston College 43 Colorado State 63 Southern Methodist 62 Stanford 75 Washington State 7 California - Los Angeles 30 Washington 58 Bowling Green 89 Western Michigan 50-60% chance of victory: 68 Louisville 82 East Carolina 13 Wisconsin 20 Michigan 18 Texas 34 Texas Tech 73 Texas Christian 85 Tulsa 97 Utah State 93 North Texas
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