rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 44 Miami - Ohio 104 Akron 45 Central Florida 99 New Mexico 74 Toledo 107 Eastern Michigan 83 Northwestern 109 Hawaii 84 Ohio 112 Kent State 29 Michigan State 81 Illinois 14 Syracuse 92 Temple 21 Virginia Tech 100 Rutgers 80-90% chance of victory: 25 Miami - Florida 82 Pittsburgh 10 Air Force 65 Rice 61 Fresno State 93 San Jose State 32 Georgia 59 Mississippi 28 Georgia Tech 63 Wake Forest 1 Kansas State 18 Missouri 8 Oregon 47 Oregon State 9 Purdue 56 Indiana 55 San Diego State 87 Texas - El Paso 16 Tulane 80 Houston 51 Wyoming 88 Tulsa 35 West Virginia 67 Boston College 70-80% chance of victory: 12 Arizona 37 Arizona State 49 California 58 Stanford 5 California - Los Angeles 11 Southern California 95 Central Michigan 105 Ball State 2 Florida State 6 Florida 52 Louisville 79 Army 39 North Carolina State 72 Maryland 71 Southern Methodist 91 Navy 69 Texas Christian 97 Nevada - Las Vegas 31 Southern Mississippi 54 Nevada - Reno 76 Bowling Green 106 Northern Illinois 3 Ohio State 15 Michigan 33 Texas Tech 62 Oklahoma 43 Oklahoma State 64 Baylor 7 Tennessee 27 Kentucky 36 Washington 75 Washington State 17 Wisconsin 24 Penn State 60-70% chance of victory: 89 Idaho 101 Boise State 60 Clemson 70 South Carolina 48 North Carolina 77 Duke 86 Memphis State 85 East Carolina 53 Minnesota 57 Iowa 96 North Texas 102 New Mexico State 26 Notre Dame 30 Louisiana State 50-60% chance of victory: 38 Auburn 41 Alabama 110 Arkansas State 108 Cincinnati 78 Iowa State 68 Kansas 20 Arkansas 34 Mississippi State 50 Utah 46 Brigham Young
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