rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 1 Kansas State 178 Temple 41 Louisiana State 196 North Texas 44 Marist 226 Saint Peter's 17 Michigan 109 Rice 31 Michigan State 198 Eastern Michigan 74 Mississippi 220 Arkansas State 3 Nebraska 81 California 10 Penn State 112 Pittsburgh 14 Texas 180 Rutgers 7 Syracuse 179 Central Michigan 52 Western Illinois 204 Mississippi Valley State 12 Wisconsin 197 Ball State 80-90% chance of victory: 67 Appalachian State 188 Eastern Kentucky 30 Arizona 187 Middle Tennessee State 124 Bethune - Cookman 216 Morgan State 131 Bowling Green 209 Tennessee Tech 46 Colorado 137 San Jose State 32 Colorado State 107 Nevada - Reno 68 Elon 218 Delaware State 50 Duquesne 219 La Salle 6 Florida 71 Central Florida 29 Florida A&M 221 Norfolk State 2 Florida State 18 Georgia Tech 33 Lehigh 140 Fordham 34 Georgia 98 South Carolina 86 Illinois State 214 Southeast Missouri State 26 Fairfield 192 Iona 35 Louisiana Tech 211 Sam Houston State 51 Louisville 157 Chattanooga 102 Maryland 150 Western Carolina 64 Minnesota 190 Northeast Louisiana 39 Mississippi State 162 Memphis State 42 North Carolina State 168 William & Mary 15 Oregon 155 Texas - El Paso 84 Howard 217 Prairie View 118 Saint John's 224 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 40 South Florida 185 Southwest Texas State 56 Texas Tech 215 Southwestern Louisiana 24 Tulane 115 Southern Methodist 21 Virginia Tech 163 Alabama - Birmingham 20 Georgia Southern 182 Wofford 70-80% chance of victory: 136 Northern Arizona 203 California Poly 54 Alabama 87 Houston 43 Auburn 104 Idaho 88 Baylor 148 Nevada - Las Vegas 143 Buffalo 193 Akron 117 Morehead State 200 Butler 25 Virginia 83 Clemson 70 Colgate 92 Bucknell 55 Georgetown 139 Holy Cross 152 Navy 222 Kent State 73 Marshall 133 Liberty 80 Oklahoma 153 Indiana State 69 Oklahoma State 101 Tulsa 59 Oregon State 79 Fresno State 8 Purdue 27 Notre Dame 53 Robert Morris 100 Dayton 206 Siena 223 Sacred Heart 23 Southern Mississippi 61 Northwestern State 159 Vanderbilt 201 Northern Illinois 114 Western Michigan 174 Youngstown State 77 Wyoming 146 Weber State 60-70% chance of victory: 189 Alabama State 194 Alcorn State 121 Southern Utah 181 Boise State 95 Troy State 173 Cincinnati 116 East Carolina 128 Duke 66 San Diego State 120 Illinois 58 North Carolina 90 Indiana 91 Iowa State 89 Iowa 126 Monmouth 144 Albany 122 Montana 132 Sacramento State 171 New Mexico 186 New Mexico State 78 Texas Christian 125 Northwestern 75 Northern Iowa 145 Ohio 5 Ohio State 9 California - Los Angeles 93 Southern 94 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 170 Southern Illinois 176 Murray State 85 Texas Southern 165 Southwest Missouri State 111 Stanford 119 Washington State 158 Towson 169 Lafayette 37 West Virginia 49 Miami - Ohio 48 Hampton 84 Howard 50-60% chance of victory: 45 Washington 63 Brigham Young 127 Army 113 Wake Forest 195 Samford 208 Austin Peay 183 Jacksonville 199 Davidson 142 Grambling 135 Alabama A&M 202 Eastern Illinois 210 Hawaii 108 Kansas 96 California State - North 130 Wagner 167 Stony Brook 129 Stephen F. Austin 172 Utah State 47 Tennessee State 62 Jackson State
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