rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 15 Wisconsin 174 Cincinnati 57 Georgetown 215 Siena 1 Kansas State 149 Texas - El Paso 27 Lehigh 141 Monmouth 60 Miami - Ohio 207 Eastern Michigan 7 Ohio State 159 Ohio 75 Pittsburgh 230 Kent State 8 Purdue 178 Central Michigan 144 Samford 235 Tennessee - Martin 13 Texas 139 Rice 11 Texas A&M 120 Tulsa 23 Arkansas 206 Northeast Louisiana 115 Dayton 231 Austin Peay 80-90% chance of victory: 38 Arizona State 172 New Mexico State 101 Montana State 222 California Poly 22 California - Los Angeles 87 Fresno State 3 Florida State 35 North Carolina State 14 Georgia Tech 84 Central Florida 96 Houston 221 Southwestern Louisiana 95 Iowa 196 Northern Illinois 41 Marshall 125 Bowling Green 135 Memphis State 227 Arkansas State 80 Mississippi 162 Vanderbilt 33 Missouri 107 Western Michigan 175 Murray State 228 Southeast Missouri State 20 Oregon 88 Nevada - Reno 78 Pennsylvania 186 Dartmouth 31 Hofstra 198 Rhode Island 138 San Jose State 212 Saint Mary's 91 Southern 214 Prairie View 16 Southern California 82 San Diego State 69 Texas Tech 213 North Texas 24 Tulane 143 Army 54 Utah 123 Utah State 156 East Tennessee State 236 Virginia Military 113 Wagner 229 Sacred Heart 29 Western Illinois 197 Nicholls State 70-80% chance of victory: 111 Troy State 204 Alabama State 44 Arizona 105 Stanford 112 Toledo 203 Ball State 83 Bucknell 126 Towson 26 Fairfield 65 Duquesne 86 Colgate 170 Fordham 161 Boise State 216 Hawaii 147 Holy Cross 193 Lafayette 92 Idaho 169 Washington State 72 Jackson State 129 Grambling 28 Louisiana State 48 Auburn 39 Louisville 81 Illinois 71 McNeese State 127 Southern Utah 50 Minnesota 76 Illinois State 128 Alabama A&M 225 Mississippi Valley State 142 South Carolina State 217 Morgan State 2 Nebraska 12 Southern Mississippi 102 Northern Arizona 179 New Mexico 19 Notre Dame 30 Michigan State 56 Oklahoma 98 Baylor 85 Princeton 154 Cornell 209 Butler 234 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 218 Canisius 233 Saint Peter's 9 Syracuse 17 Michigan 45 Robert Morris 121 Valparaiso 40 Virginia 97 Wake Forest 163 Weber State 224 Idaho State 64 Hampton 119 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 60-70% chance of victory: 37 Colorado State 62 Brigham Young 192 Akron 176 Temple 51 Colorado 61 Kansas 226 Delaware State 232 Norfolk State 166 Southern Illinois 211 Eastern Illinois 167 Eastern Kentucky 201 Indiana State 63 Kentucky 104 Indiana 205 Iona 220 La Salle 152 Maine 165 Richmond 32 West Virginia 67 Maryland 4 Miami - Florida 10 Penn State 189 Middle Tennessee State 194 Wofford 49 Mississippi State 53 Oklahoma State 100 Boston College 150 Navy 148 New Hampshire 180 James Madison 18 Georgia Southern 46 Oregon State 66 Marist 110 Saint John's 200 Liberty 223 Tennessee Tech 25 Air Force 52 Washington 68 South Florida 114 Western Kentucky 103 Howard 133 Bethune - Cookman 50-60% chance of victory: 157 Eastern Washington 184 Portland State 42 Louisiana Tech 47 Alabama 202 Connecticut 195 Buffalo 145 Duke 117 Northwestern 6 Florida 5 Tennessee 151 Columbia 182 Harvard 93 Iowa State 130 Nevada - Las Vegas 99 South Carolina 94 East Carolina 183 Stephen F. Austin 158 Southwest Texas State 43 Tennessee State 36 Florida A&M 160 Villanova 146 Massachusetts 199 Western Carolina 185 The Citadel 168 William & Mary 153 Furman 108 Brown 132 Yale
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