rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 92 Bucknell 217 Delaware State 25 Fairfield 228 Canisius 87 Furman 236 Virginia Military 33 Hofstra 209 California Poly 43 Marshall 183 Temple 63 Jackson State 225 Mississippi Valley State 8 Penn State 107 Indiana 9 Purdue 127 Northwestern 4 Tennessee 157 Memphis State 97 Wagner 235 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 143 Western Kentucky 229 Southeast Missouri State 80-90% chance of victory: 20 Virginia Tech 53 Clemson 23 Air Force 69 Wyoming 137 Alabama A&M 223 Prairie View 29 Auburn 86 Mississippi 24 Texas 130 Baylor 100 Brown 200 Lafayette 51 Robert Morris 191 Central Connecticut 6 Miami - Florida 72 East Carolina 21 Georgia Southern 148 Chattanooga 65 Hampton 140 Grambling 198 Iona 231 Sacred Heart 3 Kansas State 64 Iowa State 124 Bowling Green 224 Kent State 7 Florida 62 Kentucky 45 Mississippi State 135 South Carolina 1 Florida State 54 North Carolina 75 Northwestern State 199 Northeast Louisiana 48 Northern Iowa 122 Southern Illinois 144 Ohio 216 Buffalo 12 Ohio State 109 Cincinnati 18 Lehigh 128 Princeton 15 Syracuse 58 West Virginia 74 Appalachian State 189 The Citadel 77 Southern 196 Alabama State 70-80% chance of victory: 106 Texas Christian 219 Arkansas State 129 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 184 Alcorn State 149 Army 202 Ball State 66 Miami - Ohio 179 Central Michigan 104 Cornell 190 Fordham 78 Colgate 171 Dartmouth 220 Eastern Illinois 234 Tennessee - Martin 147 Eastern Washington 213 California State - North 60 Elon 102 North Carolina A&T 52 Georgetown 73 Saint John's 39 Georgia 96 Central Florida 138 Holy Cross 158 Harvard 133 Maine 186 Connecticut 2 Nebraska 35 Missouri 120 Montana 181 Weber State 81 Morehead State 125 Dayton 56 Utah 161 Nevada - Las Vegas 175 Northeastern 206 William & Mary 98 Western Michigan 205 Northern Illinois 10 Oregon 26 Southern California 89 Pennsylvania 153 Villanova 195 Rhode Island 215 Morgan State 116 Rice 159 Navy 218 Siena 230 Saint Peter's 150 Southern Methodist 210 Hawaii 178 Middle Tennessee State 227 Southwestern Louisiana 22 California - Los Angeles 70 Stanford 101 Toledo 154 Massachusetts 82 Arizona 163 Washington State 57 Florida A&M 151 South Carolina State 60-70% chance of victory: 19 Arkansas 46 Alabama 76 Houston 132 Alabama - Birmingham 113 New Mexico 180 Boise State 105 Towson 176 Columbia 141 Duke 156 Vanderbilt 168 East Tennessee State 193 Western Carolina 110 Howard 123 Texas Southern 187 Portland State 214 Idaho State 16 Michigan State 47 Illinois 169 Jacksonville State 192 Nicholls State 37 Louisville 36 Oklahoma 79 Fresno State 139 Nevada - Reno 164 Richmond 167 New Hampshire 103 Boston College 166 Rutgers 118 Sacramento State 119 Montana State 142 Samford 172 Eastern Kentucky 117 San Jose State 146 Tulsa 5 Texas A&M 11 Southern Mississippi 83 New Mexico State 131 Texas - El Paso 68 South Florida 90 Troy State 50 North Carolina State 99 Wake Forest 31 Colorado 55 Washington 13 Michigan 27 Wisconsin 201 Wofford 207 Charleston Southern 94 Western Illinois 185 Youngstown State 50-60% chance of victory: 41 Brigham Young 38 Virginia 111 California 91 Arizona State 197 Eastern Michigan 188 Akron 165 James Madison 155 Delaware 61 San Diego State 88 Kansas 59 Duquesne 80 Marist 134 Southwest Missouri State 108 Illinois State 170 Southwest Texas State 160 Northern Arizona 182 Stony Brook 162 Monmouth 136 Yale 112 Valparaiso
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