rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 37 Hofstra 186 Delaware State 34 Arkansas 185 Middle Tennessee State 6 Lehigh 210 Dartmouth 99 Drake 223 Saint Mary's 27 Fairfield 220 Siena 16 Georgia Southern 200 Western Carolina 40 Jackson State 183 Alabama State 3 Kansas State 120 Kansas 56 Montana 209 California State - North 159 Murray State 236 Tennessee - Martin 1 Nebraska 52 Iowa State 4 Virginia Tech 160 Rutgers 157 Central Connecticut 234 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 23 Tennessee State 207 Eastern Illinois 12 Texas A&M 176 Baylor 57 Utah 192 Northeast Louisiana 173 Wofford 235 Virginia Military 59 Wyoming 190 Nevada - Las Vegas 80-90% chance of victory: 13 Syracuse 91 Pittsburgh 17 Southern California 103 Arizona 45 Brigham Young 138 California 38 Duquesne 94 Saint John's 11 Georgia Tech 79 North Carolina 177 Grambling 232 Mississippi Valley State 26 Florida A&M 112 Howard 85 Idaho 211 North Texas 152 Northern Arizona 228 Idaho State 78 Illinois State 198 Indiana State 15 Penn State 106 Iowa 191 La Salle 231 Canisius 70 Colgate 187 Lafayette 33 Georgetown 118 Marist 105 Towson 217 Morgan State 31 Air Force 126 Navy 66 Northern Iowa 182 California Poly 22 Notre Dame 96 Arizona State 194 Stony Brook 233 Sacred Heart 44 San Diego State 127 New Mexico 88 South Florida 204 Liberty 62 Southern 128 Alabama A&M 95 Boston College 202 Temple 10 Tennessee 54 Georgia 140 Texas - El Paso 206 Southern Methodist 109 Toledo 215 Kent State 121 Utah State 189 Arkansas State 124 Vanderbilt 221 The Citadel 48 Virginia 150 Duke 136 Washington State 213 Southwestern Louisiana 70-80% chance of victory: 58 Louisville 151 Army 196 Iona 230 Saint Peter's 60 Alabama - Birmingham 102 Memphis State 111 Brown 143 Princeton 180 Central Michigan 227 Buffalo 156 Valparaiso 212 Butler 80 Cornell 125 Harvard 113 Dayton 154 San Diego 14 Southern Mississippi 46 East Carolina 144 Eastern Kentucky 170 Western Kentucky 104 Western Michigan 184 Eastern Michigan 69 Yale 158 Holy Cross 7 Florida 49 Louisiana State 148 Massachusetts 188 Northeastern 164 Montana State 216 Weber State 77 Hampton 142 North Carolina A&T 171 Northern Illinois 218 Ball State 67 Oklahoma State 92 Texas Tech 163 Pennsylvania 205 Fordham 153 Richmond 199 Rhode Island 75 Kentucky 147 South Carolina 195 Tennessee Tech 224 Southeast Missouri State 117 Southern Illinois 161 Youngstown State 71 Troy State 93 Northwestern State 43 Elon 130 Western Illinois 116 Villanova 201 William & Mary 60-70% chance of victory: 123 Ohio 178 Akron 193 Alcorn State 208 Prairie View 135 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 132 Texas Southern 131 Boise State 133 Eastern Washington 81 Miami - Ohio 137 Bowling Green 21 Oregon 47 California - Los Angeles 36 Colorado 50 Missouri 98 Bucknell 145 Columbia 2 Florida State 8 Miami - Florida 122 Hawaii 110 Rice 73 Houston 82 Cincinnati 9 Michigan State 5 Michigan 20 Minnesota 19 Wisconsin 61 Mississippi 63 Tulane 155 New Mexico State 167 Nevada - Reno 32 Oregon State 39 Washington 97 Sacramento State 115 Portland State 203 Jacksonville State 225 Sam Houston State 222 South Carolina State 226 Norfolk State 181 Stephen F. Austin 179 McNeese State 18 Texas 25 Oklahoma 41 Maryland 90 Wake Forest 50-60% chance of victory: 35 Mississippi State 42 Auburn 51 Colorado State 76 Fresno State 72 Furman 65 Appalachian State 108 Indiana 100 Northwestern 165 Southwest Texas State 197 Nicholls State 53 Clemson 83 North Carolina State 29 Ohio State 24 Purdue 89 San Jose State 101 Texas Christian 87 Albany 119 Wagner
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