rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 57 Georgetown 230 Saint Peter's 7 Miami - Florida 135 Boston College 22 Marshall 226 Buffalo 177 Central Connecticut 234 Sacred Heart 140 Eastern Kentucky 235 Tennessee - Martin 15 Georgia Southern 223 The Citadel 56 Duquesne 217 Iona 19 Lehigh 149 Holy Cross 5 Michigan 72 Illinois 125 Texas Southern 231 Mississippi Valley State 78 Albany 233 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31 Colgate 228 Saint Mary's 111 Southwest Missouri State 227 Southeast Missouri State 159 William & Mary 236 Virginia Military 34 Tennessee State 195 Western Kentucky 80-90% chance of victory: 88 Texas Tech 181 Baylor 109 Drake 215 Butler 4 Florida State 40 Clemson 33 Yale 174 Columbia 42 Fairfield 94 Saint John's 73 Furman 150 East Tennessee State 29 Florida A&M 122 Hampton 142 Southwest Texas State 220 Jacksonville State 71 Bucknell 201 Lafayette 104 Northwestern State 206 McNeese State 25 Mississippi State 86 Louisiana State 77 Robert Morris 197 Monmouth 48 Montana 167 Eastern Washington 37 Brigham Young 171 Nevada - Las Vegas 164 Northern Illinois 214 Kent State 62 Northern Iowa 153 Youngstown State 3 Kansas State 47 Oklahoma State 208 Siena 229 Canisius 49 Southern 120 Alcorn State 11 Southern Mississippi 79 Cincinnati 151 Southern Utah 222 Idaho State 152 Stephen F. Austin 218 Nicholls State 100 Toledo 173 Eastern Michigan 108 Towson 210 Fordham 90 Troy State 202 Sam Houston State 123 Valparaiso 184 San Diego 145 Villanova 224 Northeastern 132 Portland State 225 Weber State 83 West Virginia 180 Temple 114 Western Michigan 213 Ball State 70-80% chance of victory: 58 Jackson State 147 Alabama A&M 27 Oregon 69 Arizona 139 Army 183 New Mexico State 128 Boise State 161 Nevada - Reno 172 Chattanooga 212 Western Carolina 115 Cornell 198 Dartmouth 35 East Carolina 74 Tulane 80 Fresno State 137 Texas - El Paso 117 Harvard 168 Princeton 101 Idaho 133 Utah State 92 Western Illinois 169 Indiana State 38 Iowa State 66 Colorado 129 James Madison 158 Connecticut 13 Minnesota 28 Ohio State 102 North Carolina A&T 138 Howard 99 Pittsburgh 189 Rutgers 116 Sacramento State 157 Northern Arizona 89 Vanderbilt 170 South Carolina 103 South Florida 156 New Hampshire 26 Southern California 53 Stanford 1 Nebraska 12 Texas 113 Hawaii 191 Tulsa 32 Utah 51 San Diego State 63 Appalachian State 155 Wofford 148 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 192 Grambling 60-70% chance of victory: 9 Tennessee 21 Alabama 75 Arizona State 96 Washington State 43 Washington 84 California 67 Louisiana Tech 105 Central Florida 204 Charleston Southern 209 Liberty 76 Massachusetts 134 Delaware 196 Delaware State 205 Morgan State 50 Georgia 54 Kentucky 118 Iowa 130 Indiana 55 Missouri 112 Kansas 65 Louisville 68 Houston 126 Marist 119 Wagner 59 Maryland 85 North Carolina 136 Samford 160 Murray State 131 Navy 146 Akron 144 Ohio 163 Bowling Green 60 Oregon State 70 California - Los Angeles 41 Texas Christian 81 Rice 178 San Jose State 193 Southern Methodist 106 Illinois State 166 Southern Illinois 8 Wisconsin 14 Michigan State 91 Wyoming 87 Colorado State 50-60% chance of victory: 107 Duke 97 North Carolina State 179 Tennessee Tech 200 Eastern Illinois 36 Hofstra 52 Elon 162 California State - North 185 Montana State 154 Arkansas State 188 North Texas 23 Oklahoma 16 Texas A&M 110 Brown 141 Pennsylvania 17 Purdue 10 Penn State 143 Maine 176 Rhode Island 211 Southwestern Louisiana 203 Northeast Louisiana 61 Alabama - Birmingham 93 Wake Forest
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