rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 148 Valparaiso 230 Austin Peay 43 Oklahoma State 207 Baylor 35 Furman 187 Chattanooga 95 Duquesne 235 Canisius 61 Fresno State 173 San Jose State 98 Georgetown 211 La Salle 45 Colgate 176 Holy Cross 12 Minnesota 142 Iowa 59 Jackson State 181 Alcorn State 4 Kansas State 97 Missouri 27 Lehigh 174 Lafayette 21 Marshall 138 Ohio 34 Massachusetts 170 Connecticut 11 Miami - Florida 193 Rutgers 112 Miami - Ohio 221 Buffalo 56 Montana 223 Montana State 93 Robert Morris 199 Stony Brook 58 Fairfield 232 Saint Peter's 15 Clemson 140 South Carolina 2 Virginia Tech 135 Temple 7 Oklahoma 103 Texas Tech 92 Troy State 216 Jacksonville State 78 North Carolina A&T 200 South Carolina State 80-90% chance of victory: 110 Saint John's 204 Iona 123 Brown 196 Columbia 94 Central Florida 156 Bowling Green 129 Eastern Kentucky 205 Eastern Illinois 116 Bucknell 220 Fordham 44 Illinois 125 Northwestern 16 Purdue 107 Indiana 66 Appalachian State 186 Liberty 71 San Diego State 192 Nevada - Las Vegas 120 New Mexico State 202 North Texas 77 Tennessee State 203 Southeast Missouri State 122 Wofford 214 Southwestern Louisiana 53 Texas Christian 128 Texas - El Paso 167 Texas Southern 224 Norfolk State 38 Washington 114 Washington State 57 Wyoming 139 New Mexico 26 Florida A&M 161 Bethune - Cookman 70-80% chance of victory: 154 Alabama A&M 178 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 23 Arkansas 39 Mississippi State 137 Northern Arizona 201 California State - North 162 Princeton 210 Dartmouth 32 East Carolina 76 North Carolina State 168 Hampton 212 Morgan State 48 Hofstra 82 James Madison 6 Tennessee 51 Kentucky 183 Marist 209 Siena 13 Michigan 37 Ohio State 31 Mississippi 52 Georgia 115 New Hampshire 145 Maine 182 McNeese State 227 Nicholls State 36 Notre Dame 70 Boston College 119 Pennsylvania 159 Cornell 49 Southern California 106 California - Los Angeles 118 Sam Houston State 177 Southwest Texas State 42 Stanford 65 California 81 Alabama - Birmingham 147 Tulane 102 Southern Methodist 163 Tulsa 22 Georgia Tech 74 Wake Forest 87 Yale 136 Harvard 60-70% chance of victory: 20 Alabama 41 Auburn 184 Central Michigan 218 Ball State 24 Brigham Young 28 Utah 143 Sacramento State 179 California Poly 3 Florida State 9 Florida 63 Boise State 100 Idaho 197 Jacksonville 213 Charleston Southern 73 Kansas 68 Iowa State 18 Southern Mississippi 46 Louisville 144 Northern Illinois 158 Eastern Michigan 29 Oregon 33 Oregon State 190 Rhode Island 191 Northeastern 99 William & Mary 124 Richmond 160 Samford 157 Tennessee Tech 151 Southwest Missouri State 149 Indiana State 84 Delaware 113 Villanova 86 Western Illinois 90 Drake 50-60% chance of victory: 91 Houston 117 Army 83 Cincinnati 64 Memphis State 47 Colorado State 40 Air Force 195 Delaware State 188 Howard 108 Hawaii 89 Navy 55 Virginia 69 Maryland 14 Michigan State 10 Penn State 185 Middle Tennessee State 169 East Tennessee State 153 Utah State 166 Nevada - Reno 105 Duke 130 North Carolina 150 Northwestern State 133 Stephen F. Austin 155 Western Kentucky 171 Southern Illinois 88 Toledo 75 Western Michigan
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