rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 19 Marshall 138 Ohio 2 Virginia Tech 60 Boston College 37 Colorado State 192 Nevada - Las Vegas 5 Tennessee 73 Vanderbilt 80-90% chance of victory: 1 Nebraska 18 Colorado 112 Saint John's 203 Stony Brook 8 Miami - Florida 71 Syracuse 47 Montana 116 Youngstown State 15 Georgia Southern 121 Northern Arizona 97 Southern 173 Grambling 70-80% chance of victory: 22 Arkansas 92 Louisiana State 12 Oklahoma 41 Oklahoma State 7 Texas 25 Texas A&M 57 Texas Christian 93 Southern Methodist 23 Florida A&M 70 Appalachian State 29 Georgia Tech 50 Georgia 22 Arkansas 92 Louisiana State 59 Air Force 131 New Mexico 60-70% chance of victory: 34 Mississippi State 36 Mississippi 28 Louisiana Tech 55 Southern California 102 Hawaii 113 Washington State 49 Colgate 104 Illinois State 157 Utah State 190 North Texas 32 Stanford 45 Notre Dame 65 West Virginia 76 Pittsburgh 50-60% chance of victory: 62 Arizona State 53 Arizona 31 Massachusetts 48 Furman 43 Hofstra 39 Lehigh 68 San Diego State 56 Wyoming 69 North Carolina A&T 94 Tennessee State 95 Troy State 90 James Madison
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