20 Jan 2002: Average model rankings (NFL)

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  0   3 10.8  3.1 Oakland                   17  3   0  9.5  2.0 Tennessee               
  2  1   2  9.0  4.2 Tampa Bay                 18  2   0  9.0  2.3 Cleveland               
  3  1   2  9.5  3.6 Philadelphia              19  4   0  9.3  2.0 St. Louis               
  4  1   1 10.6  2.3 Kansas City               20  2   0  9.2  2.1 Buffalo                 
  5  1   1  9.3  3.0 Miami                     21  2   0  9.6  1.6 New Orleans             
  6  3   1  9.5  2.8 New York Jets             22  1   0  8.8  2.1 Indianapolis            
  7  1   1  9.6  2.7 Denver                    23  1   0  8.1  2.5 Chicago                 
  8  2   1  9.4  2.8 New England               24  1   0  9.6  1.5 Minnesota               
  9  1   1  9.8  2.3 Pittsburgh                25  1   0  8.3  2.3 Baltimore               
 10  1   0  9.2  2.6 Green Bay                 26  2   0  7.4  2.7 Carolina                
 11  4   0  9.2  2.6 Atlanta                   27  1   0  8.2  2.0 Washington              
 12  2   0  8.9  2.8 New York Giants           28  0  -1  7.9  1.7 Arizona                 
 13  4   0  9.2  2.4 Seattle                   29  0  -1  7.1  2.3 Dallas                  
 14  1   0  8.7  2.7 Jacksonville              30  0  -1  8.2  1.2 Detroit                 
 15  1   0  8.8  2.6 San Diego                 31  0  -1  7.5  1.7 Cincinnati              
 16  2   0  9.3  2.3 San Francisco             32  0  -1  6.7  2.1 Houston                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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