prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
81% 1 Oakland 41 33.5, 26 Arizona 20 17.9
78% 14 Pittsburgh 29 28.4, 29 Cincinnati 21 16.2
78% 3 New England 24 32.2, 22 Minnesota 17 20.2
77% 20 Chicago 20 26.0, 30 Detroit 17 15.2
76% 8 New York Jets 31 26.3, 24 Buffalo 13 16.6
69% 15 Atlanta 41 22.8, 28 Carolina 0 16.6
61% 4 Tampa Bay 21 20.7, 6 Green Bay 7 17.9
59% 12 Miami 30 18.5, 11 San Diego 3 17.1
59% 2 Philadelphia 38 19.1, 9 San Francisco 17 17.5
58% 5 Indianapolis 23 21.3, 13 Denver 20 19.9
39% 25 Baltimore 13 20.4, 19 Tennessee 12 23.2
37% 23 Seattle 39 16.8, 10 Kansas City 32 20.3
36% 21 Cleveland 24 27.9, 17 New Orleans 15 32.7
24% 27 Washington 20 18.7, 7 St. Louis 17 28.4
21% 32 Dallas 21 8.0, 18 Jacksonville 19 19.7
20% 31 Houston 16 10.7, 16 New York Giants 14 23.8
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
3 1.71 5 0.63 6 0.86 2 0.62 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 10 11.2 0.89
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net