rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 2 Philadelphia over 31 Dallas 1 Kansas City over 21 San Diego 70-80% chance of victory: 5 Miami over 23 Minnesota 12 San Francisco over 29 Arizona 22 Atlanta over 30 Detroit 18 New Orleans over 32 Cincinnati 9 Seattle over 24 St. Louis 4 Oakland over 11 Denver 3 Tampa Bay over 20 Pittsburgh 60-70% chance of victory: 6 Green Bay over 13 Buffalo 14 New England over 15 New York Jets 50-60% chance of victory: 17 Chicago over 26 Carolina 25 Houston over 28 Washington 7 New York Giants over 16 Indianapolis 10 Jacksonville over 8 Tennessee 19 Cleveland over 27 Baltimore
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