20 Jan 2004: Current model rankings (NFL)

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   2 14.2  6.0 Green Bay                 17  3   0 12.5  5.7 New York Jets           
  2  1   1 13.3  6.3 New England               18  2   0 12.5  5.6 Pittsburgh              
  3  1   1 14.5  5.3 Indianapolis              19  2   0 11.9  6.0 Dallas                  
  4  1   1 14.8  5.1 Kansas City               20  2   0 12.2  5.7 Chicago                 
  5  3   1 13.4  6.0 Philadelphia              21  3   0 12.8  5.2 Oakland                 
  6  4   1 13.0  6.3 Miami                     22  1   0 12.1  5.7 Buffalo                 
  7  2   1 14.0  5.4 Tennessee                 23  2   0 12.0  5.5 Jacksonville            
  8  2   1 13.1  6.0 Carolina                  24  1   0 12.9  4.9 Atlanta                 
  9  4   1 12.2  6.5 Tampa Bay                 25  2   0 12.8  4.9 Washington              
 10  2   1 13.1  5.9 Baltimore                 26  2   0 12.8  4.8 San Diego               
 11  2   1 13.5  5.5 Denver                    27  4   0 12.9  4.7 Cincinnati              
 12  3   0 13.9  5.1 Minnesota                 28  2   0 11.9  5.5 Cleveland               
 13  4   0 13.9  5.1 St. Louis                 29  4   0 12.3  5.0 Detroit                 
 14  2   0 13.8  5.1 San Francisco             30  1  -1 11.8  4.7 Houston                 
 15  3   0 13.4  5.4 New Orleans               31  1  -1 11.7  4.8 New York Giants         
 16  2   0 13.4  5.1 Seattle                   32  0  -2 11.2  4.5 Arizona                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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