prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
88% 4 Indianapolis 23 30.1, 29 Jacksonville 13 6.9
82% 5 Kansas City 42 35.7, 27 Houston 14 17.9
78% 1 Tampa Bay 31 23.6, 17 Atlanta 10 12.0
75% 7 Seattle 24 23.3, 19 St. Louis 23 14.7
74% 12 Tennessee 27 26.9, 23 New Orleans 12 18.3
71% 6 Denver 31 27.2, 9 Oakland 10 19.6
67% 21 Baltimore 24 23.4, 30 San Diego 10 17.3
67% 15 Pittsburgh 17 26.1, 25 Cincinnati 10 20.2
67% 11 New England 23 21.3, 20 New York Jets 16 14.9
65% 10 Minnesota 23 31.9, 24 Detroit 13 26.4
38% 16 New York Giants 24 18.5, 13 Washington 21 21.7
33% 14 Miami 17 17.5, 2 Buffalo 7 24.2
14% 32 Arizona 20 9.8, 8 Green Bay 13 34.1
13% 28 Cleveland 13 6.8, 3 San Francisco 12 30.7
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
0 0.00 6 1.02 4 1.34 4 0.58 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 14 10 10.3 0.97
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net