rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 11 Tennessee over 31 Houston 5 Denver over 25 Pittsburgh 70-80% chance of victory: 1 Indianapolis over 8 Carolina 6 Miami over 26 Jacksonville 4 Tampa Bay over 18 Washington 20 Baltimore over 32 Arizona 60-70% chance of victory: 3 Kansas City over 7 Green Bay 10 New England over 15 New York Giants 29 New Orleans over 30 Chicago 9 Buffalo over 24 New York Jets 12 Seattle over 14 San Francisco 17 St. Louis over 22 Atlanta 50-60% chance of victory: 19 Cleveland over 16 Oakland 21 Dallas over 13 Philadelphia
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