prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
82% 2 Tennessee 10 32.4, 27 Jacksonville 3 17.0
76% 16 Seattle 35 25.5, 30 Detroit 14 16.2
75% 9 Denver 37 25.8, 24 San Diego 8 17.0
74% 26 Cleveland 44 21.0, 31 Arizona 6 13.3
73% 19 New Orleans 23 28.1, 28 Atlanta 20 19.9
72% 3 New England 12 20.2, 12 Dallas 0 13.2
71% 14 San Francisco 30 23.5, 23 Pittsburgh 14 16.3
70% 7 Philadelphia 28 20.9, 18 New York Giants 10 14.4
68% 6 St. Louis 23 24.7, 25 Chicago 10 18.6
65% 5 Indianapolis 38 24.6, 13 New York Jets 31 19.5
63% 20 Carolina 20 21.7, 22 Washington 17 17.7
62% 10 Miami 9 19.5, 15 Baltimore 6 16.4
50% 17 Oakland 28 26.7, 11 Minnesota 18 26.6
36% 8 Green Bay 20 16.8, 4 Tampa Bay 13 21.1
23% 32 Houston 12 15.6, 21 Buffalo 10 25.9
13% 29 Cincinnati 24 16.5, 1 Kansas City 19 36.1
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
1 1.98 5 1.24 8 1.19 2 0.59 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 13 11.3 1.15
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net