23 Jan 2006: Average model rankings (NFL)

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   1  9.7  2.5 Indianapolis              17  5   0  8.7  2.1 Atlanta                 
  2  3   1  9.2  2.8 Pittsburgh                18  6   0  7.8  2.7 Chicago                 
  3  2   1  9.3  2.6 Denver                    19  4   0  8.7  1.9 Green Bay               
  4  4   1  9.4  2.5 San Diego                 20  5   0  8.4  2.1 Buffalo                 
  5  2   1  9.8  2.1 Kansas City               21  7   0  8.1  2.2 Philadelphia            
  6  3   1  9.1  2.5 Carolina                  22  8   0  8.0  2.2 Cleveland               
  7  3   1  9.1  2.3 Seattle                   23  4   0  8.6  1.8 Oakland                 
  8  4   1  9.0  2.4 New England               24  4   0  8.0  2.1 New York Jets           
  9  6   0  8.8  2.4 Washington                25  3   0  8.7  1.6 Minnesota               
 10  6   0  8.9  2.3 New York Giants           26  6   0  8.7  1.6 Tennessee               
 11  3   0  8.4  2.5 Miami                     27  3   0  8.2  1.9 Arizona                 
 12 10   0  8.5  2.4 Dallas                    28  3   0  8.2  1.8 Detroit                 
 13  9   0  8.9  2.1 Cincinnati                29 14   0  8.9  1.3 Houston                 
 14  3   0  8.2  2.6 Jacksonville              30  2   0  8.3  1.6 San Francisco           
 15  5   0  8.2  2.5 Tampa Bay                 31  9   0  8.9  1.2 St. Louis               
 16  6   0  7.9  2.8 Baltimore                 32  4   0  7.9  1.7 New Orleans             

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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