prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
59% 16 New England 28 28.4, 20 Detroit 21 26.2
59% 2 Chicago 23 29.8, 25 Minnesota 13 27.6
58% 8 San Diego 24 30.1, 26 Buffalo 21 28.2
56% 22 Philadelphia 27 28.5, 21 Carolina 24 27.2
56% 4 Dallas 23 28.1, 10 New York Giants 20 26.8
53% 17 New Orleans 34 31.0, 28 San Francisco 10 30.4
52% 6 Pittsburgh 20 28.1, 9 Tampa Bay 3 27.7
43% 3 Seattle 23 27.7, 13 Denver 20 29.1
39% 29 Atlanta 24 29.0, 1 Washington 14 32.4
38% 27 Tennessee 20 28.0, 7 Indianapolis 17 31.7
38% 24 Jacksonville 24 24.7, 5 Miami 10 28.6
38% 23 New York Jets 38 25.7, 12 Green Bay 10 29.4
38% 19 Arizona 34 27.4, 15 St. Louis 20 31.6
36% 31 Cleveland 31 24.7, 11 Kansas City 28 29.8
33% 30 Cincinnati 13 26.3, 14 Baltimore 7 33.7
22% 32 Houston 23 19.7, 18 Oakland 14 36.1
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
8 1.56 7 0.00 1 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 7 9.7 0.72
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net