21 Jan 2008: Average model rankings (NFL) for the 2007 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  2   1 15.2  5.4 New England               17  5   0 14.1  5.2 Kansas City             
  2  3   1 14.7  5.5 Indianapolis              18  8   0 14.4  5.0 Denver                  
  3  3   1 14.7  5.3 Green Bay                 19  7   0 14.1  5.1 Cincinnati              
  4  3   1 14.4  5.4 Dallas                    20  6   0 13.9  5.2 Chicago                 
  5  7   1 14.1  5.6 Tampa Bay                 21  4   0 14.1  5.0 Washington              
  6  6   1 14.4  5.3 New York Giants           22  6   0 13.9  5.2 Carolina                
  7  6   0 14.2  5.4 Jacksonville              23  4   0 13.7  5.2 New York Jets           
  8  8   0 14.5  5.2 San Diego                 24  4   0 14.0  5.0 Atlanta                 
  9  8   0 14.2  5.4 Pittsburgh                25  4   0 13.8  5.1 Buffalo                 
 10  4   0 14.3  5.3 Minnesota                 26  3   0 14.1  4.9 Detroit                 
 11  4   0 14.0  5.5 Philadelphia              27  3   0 13.8  5.1 Miami                   
 12  5   0 14.4  5.2 Seattle                   28 10   0 13.9  5.0 St. Louis               
 13  7   0 14.5  5.1 New Orleans               29  3   0 13.7  5.2 San Francisco           
 14 10   0 14.3  5.2 Arizona                   30  5   0 13.7  5.1 Oakland                 
 15  4   0 13.9  5.5 Baltimore                 31 15  -1 13.4  4.0 Cleveland               
 16  5   0 13.9  5.4 Tennessee                 32 11  -2 13.7  3.3 Houston                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net