prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
56% 6 Pittsburgh 23 24.8, 2 Baltimore 14 23.6
37% 28 Arizona 32 24.9, 4 Philadelphia 25 29.0
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
1 1.80 1 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 2 1 1.2 0.85
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
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