prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
60% 17 New Orleans 45 27.7, 24 Arizona 14 23.8
59% 7 Minnesota 34 23.2, 8 Dallas 3 19.6
59% 5 Indianapolis 20 19.6, 2 Baltimore 3 16.6
41% 6 New York Jets 17 17.8, 4 San Diego 14 21.7
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
3 1.13 1 1.66 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 4 3 2.4 1.26
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net