prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
59% 4 Indianapolis 30 20.0, 5 New York Jets 17 16.1
54% 16 New Orleans 31 24.1, 6 Minnesota 28 23.5
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
2 1.77 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 2 2 1.1 1.77
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
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