17 Jul 2011: Average model rankings (NFL) for the 2010 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  0   2 11.6  3.3 New England               17  4   0  9.8  2.9 Kansas City             
  2  1   1 10.7  3.5 Green Bay                 18  2   0 10.1  2.6 Jacksonville            
  3  1   1 10.4  3.7 Pittsburgh                19  3   0  9.5  3.1 Minnesota               
  4  1   1 11.0  3.2 San Diego                 20  2   0  9.5  3.0 Miami                   
  5  1   1 10.1  3.7 Baltimore                 21  3   0 10.4  2.3 Dallas                  
  6  3   1 11.0  2.9 Indianapolis              22  2   0  9.1  3.1 Cleveland               
  7  2   1 10.6  3.2 Atlanta                   23  3   0  9.2  3.0 San Francisco           
  8  1   1 11.0  2.9 New Orleans               24  2   0  9.4  2.8 Washington              
  9  2   1 10.1  3.5 New York Jets             25  2   0  9.5  2.7 Cincinnati              
 10  2   1 10.9  2.8 Philadelphia              26  4   0  9.8  2.3 Detroit                 
 11  1   1 10.5  3.0 New York Giants           27  2   0  9.5  2.5 Buffalo                 
 12  2   0  9.9  3.3 Tennessee                 28  1   0  9.5  2.4 Seattle                 
 13  1   0  9.8  3.2 Chicago                   29  1   0  9.9  2.0 Denver                  
 14  1   0  9.8  3.1 Tampa Bay                 30  1   0  9.7  2.1 Arizona                 
 15  2   0 10.5  2.5 Houston                   31  8   0  8.9  2.7 St. Louis               
 16  4   0 10.1  2.8 Oakland                   32  2   0  8.6  2.8 Carolina                

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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