prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
87% 4 Pittsburgh 27 29.1, 32 St. Louis 0 6.6
86% 2 Green Bay 35 30.9, 12 Chicago 21 18.3
85% 5 Baltimore 20 26.1, 30 Cleveland 14 10.7
84% 1 New England 27 32.2, 16 Miami 24 16.3
79% 15 Tennessee 23 24.4, 26 Jacksonville 17 15.7
65% 3 New Orleans 45 29.6, 7 Atlanta 16 23.6
64% 20 Carolina 48 24.7, 28 Tampa Bay 16 20.2
64% 18 Cincinnati 23 27.2, 27 Arizona 16 21.6
54% 11 San Francisco 19 19.8, 24 Seattle 17 19.0
52% 29 Buffalo 40 24.9, 19 Denver 14 24.4
46% 9 Philadelphia 20 25.8, 14 Dallas 7 26.6
45% 25 Oakland 16 21.2, 31 Kansas City 13 22.0
45% 21 Indianapolis 19 23.4, 10 Houston 16 24.7
43% 23 Minnesota 33 20.1, 22 Washington 26 23.1
43% 17 Detroit 38 25.6, 6 San Diego 10 29.8
29% 13 New York Giants 29 21.5, 8 New York Jets 14 28.5
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
7 0.52 3 1.55 2 0.66 4 1.17 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 10 10.7 0.94
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net