4 Feb 2013: Average model rankings (NFL) for the 2012 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   2  6.3  6.5 New England               17  3   0  4.8  5.9 Dallas                  
  2  3   1  5.8  6.1 Green Bay                 18  3   0  4.4  6.2 Miami                   
  3  3   1  5.1  6.6 Baltimore                 19  3   0  4.7  5.9 Minnesota               
  4  2   1  5.2  6.5 Atlanta                   20  2   0  4.8  5.6 Indianapolis            
  5  3   1  5.4  6.3 New York Giants           21  4   0  4.8  5.6 Washington              
  6  4   1  4.8  6.6 Pittsburgh                22  2   0  5.3  5.0 Detroit                 
  7  3   1  5.1  6.3 Houston                   23  3   0  4.5  5.8 Carolina                
  8  3   1  4.9  6.5 San Francisco             24  3   0  4.6  5.6 Philadelphia            
  9  3   1  4.9  6.4 Cincinnati                25  2   0  4.4  5.7 Arizona                 
 10  6   1  5.3  6.0 Denver                    26  2   0  4.7  5.4 Buffalo                 
 11  5   1  5.0  6.3 San Diego                 27  3   0  4.0  6.0 Cleveland               
 12  3   1  5.8  5.5 New Orleans               28  7   0  4.8  5.2 Tampa Bay               
 13  4   0  4.7  6.3 Chicago                   29  1  -1  3.9  5.6 Kansas City             
 14  6   0  4.7  6.3 Seattle                   30  1  -1  4.0  5.4 Jacksonville            
 15  6   0  4.4  6.3 New York Jets             31  1  -1  4.5  4.9 Oakland                 
 16  6   0  4.9  5.8 Tennessee                 32  3  -1  3.9  5.3 St. Louis               

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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