9 Nov 2015: Current model rankings (NFL) for the 2014 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   3  9.5  5.5 New England               17  4   0  8.4  5.1 Minnesota               
  2  1   2  9.1  5.2 Green Bay                 18  4   0  8.4  5.1 Miami                   
  3  3   2  9.1  5.0 Denver                    19  5   0  8.3  5.2 Carolina                
  4  2   2  8.8  5.4 Baltimore                 20  4   0  8.5  4.8 New York Giants         
  5  2   2  9.0  5.2 Dallas                    21  4   0  8.3  5.1 Houston                 
  6  4   1  8.6  5.8 Seattle                   22  3   0  8.1  5.4 Arizona                 
  7  6   1  8.5  5.8 Kansas City               23  7   0  8.2  5.2 St. Louis               
  8  3   1  8.9  4.8 Philadelphia              24  6   0  8.3  4.9 Chicago                 
  9  4   1  8.7  5.1 Pittsburgh                25  8   0  8.4  4.8 Atlanta                 
 10  3   1  8.6  5.1 San Diego                 26  5   0  8.1  5.1 New York Jets           
 11  5   0  8.4  5.4 Cincinnati                27  2   0  7.9  5.1 Tampa Bay               
 12  4   0  8.6  5.1 Indianapolis              28  2  -1  7.8  5.1 Cleveland               
 13  7   0  8.7  4.8 New Orleans               29  2  -1  8.0  4.6 Washington              
 14  6   0  8.4  5.4 Detroit                   30  2  -1  7.9  4.5 Oakland                 
 15  9   0  8.2  5.7 Buffalo                   31  5  -1  7.8  4.7 Tennessee               
 16  3   0  8.3  5.4 San Francisco             32  1  -1  7.7  4.8 Jacksonville            

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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