prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
86% 1 New England 17 31.9, 26 New York Jets 16 16.7
79% 24 Carolina 17 24.5, 28 Cleveland 13 16.5
78% 3 Green Bay 20 30.8, 27 Tampa Bay 3 21.1
66% 16 Miami 37 24.1, 19 Minnesota 35 19.3
63% 9 Dallas 42 30.9, 8 Indianapolis 7 26.4
62% 7 Pittsburgh 20 25.6, 6 Kansas City 12 23.3
59% 32 Jacksonville 21 22.8, 30 Tennessee 13 19.0
57% 5 Seattle 35 18.8, 15 Arizona 6 18.1
55% 17 Detroit 20 23.1, 25 Chicago 14 22.6
41% 23 Houston 25 21.2, 4 Baltimore 13 25.1
39% 21 New York Giants 37 19.5, 18 St. Louis 27 24.8
38% 11 Cincinnati 37 24.7, 2 Denver 28 26.6
36% 13 San Diego 38 19.2, 20 San Francisco 35 20.6
33% 29 Washington 27 22.5, 10 Philadelphia 24 29.8
32% 22 Atlanta 30 25.0, 12 New Orleans 14 31.8
30% 31 Oakland 26 17.0, 14 Buffalo 24 24.1
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
4 1.30 9 0.51 2 1.27 1 1.16 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 9 10.6 0.85
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net