2015 Week 4 (1-5 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

   1 Arizona                   over   21 St. Louis                  28.0 to 10.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   4 Pittsburgh                over   14 Baltimore                  28.0 to 17.5
   9 Atlanta                   over   22 Houston                    28.0 to 17.5
  17 San Diego                 over   29 Cleveland                  31.5 to 21.0
   3 Seattle                   over   20 Detroit                    28.0 to 14.0

60-70% chance of victory:

   8 Buffalo                   over   19 New York Giants            28.0 to 17.5
   6 Cincinnati                over   11 Kansas City                24.5 to 17.5
  27 Indianapolis              over   32 Jacksonville               31.5 to 21.0
  10 Carolina                  over   31 Tampa Bay                  24.5 to 17.5
  16 Philadelphia              over   26 Washington                 24.5 to 21.0
   5 Denver                    over   13 Minnesota                  24.5 to 14.0
   7 Green Bay                 over   24 San Francisco              31.5 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  23 Miami                     over   12 New York Jets              17.5 to 17.5
  30 Chicago                   over   28 Oakland                    31.5 to 28.0
  15 Dallas                    over   25 New Orleans                31.5 to 31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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