prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
85% 1 New England 36 27.9, 3 Pittsburgh 17 18.5
60% 7 Atlanta 44 30.9, 8 Green Bay 21 25.9
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
1 1.67 0 0.00 0 0.00 1 1.17 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 2 2 1.5 1.38
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
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