prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
84% 5 Los Angeles Chargers 19 33.5, 32 Cleveland 10 13.0
76% 1 New England 23 29.2, 17 Buffalo 3 19.6
74% 8 Baltimore 44 26.4, 19 Detroit 20 18.7
71% 3 New Orleans 31 27.8, 10 Carolina 21 20.2
66% 13 Jacksonville 30 29.2, 30 Indianapolis 10 17.6
62% 23 Tennessee 24 28.9, 29 Houston 13 24.1
62% 16 Green Bay 26 27.3, 20 Tampa Bay 20 22.7
61% 27 Oakland 24 23.7, 24 New York Giants 17 20.7
61% 15 Dallas 38 27.8, 18 Washington 14 23.9
61% 7 Los Angeles Rams 32 24.0, 25 Arizona 16 21.0
61% 4 Pittsburgh 23 20.2, 14 Cincinnati 20 18.6
54% 28 Miami 35 24.1, 22 Denver 9 23.5
46% 9 Seattle 24 23.9, 2 Philadelphia 10 24.6
39% 26 New York Jets 38 19.3, 11 Kansas City 31 22.3
39% 6 Minnesota 14 20.6, 12 Atlanta 9 22.3
32% 31 San Francisco 15 17.5, 21 Chicago 14 26.3
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
2 0.93 10 1.13 3 1.36 1 1.18 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 12 10.3 1.16
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net