prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
86% 1 New England 37 32.0, 18 Buffalo 16 15.3
84% 2 Philadelphia 19 32.2, 28 Oakland 10 17.9
82% 15 Chicago 20 27.2, 32 Cleveland 3 14.1
80% 9 Carolina 22 27.2, 20 Tampa Bay 19 18.3
78% 7 Baltimore 23 29.9, 30 Indianapolis 16 15.5
75% 3 New Orleans 23 29.5, 10 Atlanta 13 20.6
71% 12 Kansas City 29 25.6, 19 Miami 13 17.0
64% 6 Pittsburgh 34 29.3, 31 Houston 6 22.1
62% 22 Arizona 23 23.5, 24 New York Giants 0 18.0
62% 5 Los Angeles Chargers 14 24.8, 27 New York Jets 7 19.3
60% 21 Washington 27 25.6, 17 Denver 11 22.5
60% 8 Los Angeles Rams 27 25.3, 23 Tennessee 23 20.8
60% 4 Minnesota 16 24.9, 16 Green Bay 0 23.0
57% 26 Cincinnati 26 24.6, 25 Detroit 17 23.4
40% 29 San Francisco 44 19.1, 13 Jacksonville 33 23.2
40% 11 Seattle 21 22.7, 14 Dallas 12 24.8
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
1 1.77 8 1.22 3 1.34 4 1.20 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 14 11.0 1.27
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net