prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
57% 9 Dallas 24 21.6, 4 Seattle 22 20.8
46% 11 Indianapolis 21 25.2, 17 Houston 7 25.7
39% 8 Philadelphia 16 19.0, 7 Chicago 15 23.5
37% 6 Los Angeles Chargers 23 19.3, 3 Baltimore 17 23.6
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
2 0.90 2 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 4 1 2.4 0.42
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net