prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
84% 5 Baltimore 23 34.6, 30 Cincinnati 17 17.9
84% 1 New England 35 34.4, 25 New York Giants 14 9.6
73% 13 Green Bay 23 27.2, 20 Detroit 22 19.5
68% 7 Seattle 32 26.6, 27 Cleveland 28 18.8
62% 3 Minnesota 38 22.1, 11 Philadelphia 20 16.8
60% 28 Washington 17 29.9, 32 Miami 16 24.6
60% 4 New Orleans 13 28.0, 23 Jacksonville 6 23.2
56% 29 Arizona 34 27.7, 24 Atlanta 33 26.9
51% 15 Carolina 37 26.5, 22 Tampa Bay 26 26.4
45% 21 Denver 16 18.4, 6 Tennessee 0 19.4
42% 2 San Francisco 20 22.6, 18 Los Angeles Rams 7 23.7
40% 17 Pittsburgh 24 20.5, 14 Los Angeles Chargers 17 23.9
39% 19 Houston 31 23.4, 10 Kansas City 24 30.7
34% 31 New York Jets 24 15.6, 9 Dallas 22 26.3
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
4 0.91 7 0.91 1 1.37 2 1.19 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 14 9 9.0 1.00
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net