prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
74% 2 Kansas City 33 28.6, 26 Cleveland 29 18.0
64% 28 Houston 37 27.7, 31 Jacksonville 21 20.9
64% 22 Carolina 19 25.7, 30 New York Jets 14 19.1
63% 12 Los Angeles Rams 34 21.6, 11 Chicago 14 17.7
62% 8 Tampa Bay 31 28.4, 20 Dallas 29 21.4
62% 4 New Orleans 38 26.3, 3 Green Bay 3 23.7
50% 17 San Francisco 41 24.6, 29 Detroit 33 24.6
42% 27 Cincinnati 27 22.9, 16 Minnesota 24 23.8
38% 32 Las Vegas 33 26.7, 1 Baltimore 27 36.6
38% 25 Los Angeles Chargers 20 20.7, 21 Washington 16 23.7
38% 24 Denver 27 20.8, 23 New York Giants 13 22.9
38% 19 Philadelphia 32 22.2, 15 Atlanta 6 25.7
38% 18 Arizona 38 21.2, 13 Tennessee 13 26.0
38% 14 Miami 17 19.8, 5 New England 16 24.3
38% 7 Seattle 28 22.9, 9 Indianapolis 16 25.7
38% 6 Pittsburgh 23 20.3, 10 Buffalo 16 23.8
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
2 0.00 13 0.62 1 1.35 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 6 9.9 0.61
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net