prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
72% 2 Kansas City 42 27.2, 15 Pittsburgh 21 17.9
64% 4 Tampa Bay 31 31.0, 17 Philadelphia 15 21.8
61% 11 Los Angeles Rams 34 27.1, 14 Arizona 11 21.3
59% 20 Cincinnati 26 37.1, 29 Las Vegas 19 26.5
58% 3 Buffalo 47 24.0, 1 New England 17 20.7
37% 13 San Francisco 23 21.3, 10 Dallas 17 26.4
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
2 1.70 3 1.06 1 1.39 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 6 5 3.8 1.32
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net