2023 Week 5 (5-9 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League


90-100% chance of victory:

   Buffalo                    over  Jacksonville               rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   Detroit                    over  Carolina                   rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Miami                      over  New York Giants            rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

   Baltimore                  over  Pittsburgh                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   New York Jets              over  Denver                     rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Washington                 over  Chicago                    rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   Houston                    over  Atlanta                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Indianapolis               over  Tennessee                  rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Kansas City                over  Minnesota                  rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   New England                over  New Orleans                rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5

60-70% chance of victory:

   Arizona                    over  Cincinnati                 rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Los Angeles Rams           over  Philadelphia               rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

   Dallas                     over  San Francisco              rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Las Vegas                  over  Green Bay                  rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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