2026 Week 4 (1-5 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League


90-100% chance of victory:

   Baltimore                  over  Tennessee                  rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Chicago                    over  New York Jets              rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Seattle                    over  Los Angeles Chargers       rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5

80-90% chance of victory:

   Minnesota                  over  Miami                      rounded predicted score:  28.0-10.5
   New Orleans                over  Atlanta                    rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   Jacksonville               over  Cincinnati                 rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   San Francisco              over  Denver                     rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Tampa Bay                  over  Green Bay                  rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

   Carolina                   over  Detroit                    rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Cleveland                  over  Pittsburgh                 rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Los Angeles Rams           over  Philadelphia               rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

   Arizona                    over  New York Giants            rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Buffalo                    over  New England                rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Dallas                     over  Houston                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Las Vegas                  over  Kansas City                rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Washington                 over  Indianapolis               rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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