7 Feb 2000: Current model rankings (NFL)

Rankings determined from model fit for the end of the season.

rnk u spd  off  def                    rnk u spd  off  def
  1 0   2 11.0  2.9 St. Louis           17 1   0  9.7  2.0 Green Bay         
  2 1   2  9.9  3.3 Jacksonville        18 2   0  7.8  3.3 San Diego         
  3 1   2 10.1  3.0 Tennessee           19 1   0  8.4  2.7 Dallas            
  4 0   2 10.7  2.5 Oakland             20 1   0  9.0  2.2 Pittsburgh        
  5 0   1  8.7  3.7 Buffalo             21 1   0  8.5  2.4 Philadelphia      
  6 0   1 10.3  2.4 Kansas City         22 1   0  8.2  2.5 Detroit           
  7 1   1 10.6  1.9 Minnesota           23 1   0  8.1  2.4 Chicago           
  8 1   1  7.2  4.3 Tampa Bay           24 1   0  8.7  1.8 Miami             
  9 1   1  8.7  3.2 Baltimore           25 0   0  8.4  2.0 New York Giants   
 10 1   1 10.1  2.1 Washington          26 0   0  8.5  2.0 Atlanta           
 11 2   1  8.4  3.2 New England         27 0  -1  8.2  1.2 San Francisco     
 12 2   0  9.1  2.7 New York Jets       28 0  -1  7.9  1.4 Arizona           
 13 3   0 10.3  1.7 Carolina            29 1  -1  8.0  1.2 New Orleans       
 14 1   0  9.9  2.1 Indianapolis        30 1  -1  8.0  1.1 Cincinnati        
 15 1   0  9.0  2.7 Denver              31 0  -2  7.7  1.2 Cleveland         
 16 2   0  8.9  2.7 Seattle           

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=* for uncertainty greater than 9 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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