prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
79% 1 St. Louis 11 25.2, 13 Tampa Bay 6 13.1
33% 5 Tennessee 33 18.4, 2 Jacksonville 14 24.4
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
0 0.00 1 0.00 1 1.26 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected): 2 1 0.68
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net