1997 College Football Forecast

• Preseason (23-24 Aug): Forecast , Results
• Week 1 (28-30 Aug): Forecast , Results
• Week 2 (4-6 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 3 (11-13 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 4 (18-20 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 5 (25-27 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 6 (2-4 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 7 (9-11 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 8 (18 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 9 (25-26 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 10 (30 Oct - 1 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 11 (6-8 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 12 (13-15 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 13 (20-22 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 14 (28-29 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 15 (5-6 Dec): Forecast , Results
• 1997 Bowl Games: Forecast , Results

Model rankings at end of the season

Average model rankings (average rank throughout season)

1997 Model Performance:

                 50-59%  60-69%  70-79%  80-89%  90-99%    100%     all
total games:        149      84      96     134     165       0     628
number right:        96      60      72     111     151       0     490
number expected:   82.5    55.0    72.0   114.8   151.4     0.0   475.6
right/expected:    1.16    1.09    1.00    0.97    1.00    0.00    1.03

actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net