1996 College Football Forecast

• Preseason (24-25 Aug): Forecast , Results
• Week 1 (29-31 Aug): Forecast , Results
• Week 2 (5-7 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 3 (12-14 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 4 (19-21 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 5 (26-28 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 6 (3-5 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 7 (10-12 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 8 (19 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 9 (26 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 10 (31 Oct - 2 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 11 (7-9 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 12 (14-16 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 13 (21-23 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 14 (28-30 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 15 (7 Dec): Forecast , Results
• Bowl Games: Forecast , Results

Model rankings at end of the season

Average model rankings (average rank throughout season)

1996 Model Performance:

                 50-59%  60-69%  70-79%  80-89%  90-99%    100%     all
total games:         83      73      88     106     256       8     614
number right:        43      48      55      79     230       8     463
number expected:   44.9    47.6    66.2    90.2   247.3     8.0   504.2
right/expected:    0.96    1.01    0.83    0.88    0.93    1.00    0.92

  right/expected = 1 -- model right on
  right/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  right/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net