1998 College Football Forecast

• Preseason (29-31 Aug): Forecast , Results
• Week 1 (3-5 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 2 (10-12 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 3 (17-19 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 4 (24-26 Sep): Forecast , Results
• Week 5 (1-3 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 6 (8-10 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 7 (17 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 8 (22-24 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 9 (29-31 Oct): Forecast , Results
• Week 10 (5-7 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 11 (12-14 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 12 (19-21 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 13 (26-28 Nov): Forecast , Results
• Week 14 (4-5 Dec): Forecast , Results
• Bowl Games: Forecast , Results

Model rankings at end of season

Average model rankings (average rank for entire season)

1998 Model Performance:

                 50-59%  60-69%  70-79%  80-89%  90-99%    100%     all
total games:         64     108     203     142     110       0     627
number right:        33      69     154     125      99       0     480
number expected:   35.7    70.0   153.7   120.4   100.9     0.0   480.6
right/expected:    0.93    0.99    1.00    1.04    0.98    0.00    1.00

actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net